Boys - Girls
Elkhart Central Sectional
2007 - 2008 - 2009



These are rankings of individuals and teams that run in this sectional. It is not a projected order of finish in the race.
Below the rankings is a projection of this round of the tournament.


RankNameGradeSchoolRatingState Rank
1  Andrew Albert 12 Northridge 16:07 #27  
2  Lucas Roscoe 12 Elkhart Central 16:21 #55  
3  Race Dorsey 12 Elkhart Memorial 16:24 #60  
4  Mitch Keyser 12 Northridge 16:27 #68  
5  Trevor Moore 10 Northridge 16:31 #73  
6  Daniel Zelaya 10 Concord 16:33 #80  
7  Jose Mejia 11 Wawasee 16:44 #126  
RankNameRatingState Rank
1  Northridge 293 #11  
2  Concord 393 #20  

Other unranked teams:
Warsaw 541   
Wawasee 573   
Goshen 575   



Sectional Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.


SchoolAvg FinishAvg ScoreMin ScoreMax Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Northridge 1.1 38 17 84 90.5 9.4 0.1
Concord 2.0 61 25 113 9.4 84.6 5.1 0.7 0.2
Warsaw 3.7 101 45 148 0.1 4.0 46.7 27.8 21.4
Goshen 4.1 108 57 151 0.8 25.4 37.7 36.0
Wawasee 4.2 110 57 145 0.0 1.1 22.7 33.8 42.4


RunnerSchoolRatingAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Andrew Albert Northridge 16:07 1.0 70.0 20.3 7.1 2.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Lucas Roscoe Elkhart Central 16:21 2.4 16.1 26.3 19.7 14.4 10.8 7.4 3.1 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Race Dorsey Elkhart Memorial 16:24 2.9 10.2 20.8 20.9 16.3 14.6 9.3 4.0 1.9 1.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Mitch Keyser Northridge 16:27 3.4 1.2 17.4 23.1 21.9 17.2 10.2 4.9 1.9 1.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0
Trevor Moore Northridge 16:31 4.4 0.2 6.7 13.7 20.0 22.3 17.1 9.8 5.1 2.4 1.3 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Daniel Zelaya Concord 16:33 4.9 2.2 6.6 11.1 15.5 16.8 21.7 13.4 6.7 3.2 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0
Jose Mejia Wawasee 16:44 6.8 0.2 1.4 3.2 5.5 9.1 14.1 19.9 14.0 10.1 6.6 5.2 3.6 2.5 1.8 1.2 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1